FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Monday, November 3, 2025
SARATOGA, N.Y. – House Republican Leadership Chairwoman Elise Stefanik released the following statement:
“Kathy Hochul’s failed policies are so toxic that she’s caused her own Democrat Party to LOSE over 100,000 Democrat voters.
Voters across New York of all political parties—Republicans, Independents, and even more Democrats—will resoundingly reject the Worst Governor in America for sprinting to endorse jihadist terrorist sympathizer Commie Mamdani.
They’re furious at Hochul for making New York unaffordable by raising taxes and causing gas, rent, and utility bills to skyrocket.
The Worst Governor in America is laying the groundwork for New Yorkers to FIRE her next November.”
Capitol Confidential with Dan Clark | Substack
Republicans in New York are winning on new voter enrollment — by a lot
Democrats lost 108,219 enrollees over the past year, new data shows.
By Dan Clark
Republicans have added voters while Democrats see enrollment drop, new data shows
Democrats in New York have a big problem leading into next year’s elections. They’re losing registered voters.
The state Board of Elections released new data Monday on party enrollment across the state as of Nov. 1. The agency does that twice a year.
It’s an easy way to see how enrollment has changed for each of the parties with automatic ballot access. That includes the Democrat, Republican, Conservative and Working Families Party lines.
They also track how many voters have opted not to register with a specific party. Independent voters are the second-largest voting bloc in the state behind Democrats.
It’s been a long-held view that Democrats in New York are not vulnerable to Republican defeat statewide. The last time that happened was when former Gov. George E. Pataki was elected to his final term in 2002.
But the new state data shows that Democrats are losing ground with registered voters while Republican enrollment is growing. Let’s get into the numbers.
Republicans have gained thousands of new registered voters
I compared the new data to what was on file in November 2024 — when Democrats flipped a handful of seats in Congress — and November 2022 — when Gov. Kathy Hochul was last up for reelection.
2022 vs. 2025
Let’s start by comparing the new enrollment numbers to what was reported in 2022. That’ll give us a sense of how voter enrollment has changed between then and now, one year out from the next election for governor.
Republicans have either increased their enrollment efforts or had a surge of organic growth, the data shows.
Republicans have enrolled 97,925 new voters in their party since 2022, according to the data. That represents an increase of about 3.3%.
They increased enrollment in all but seven of New York’s counties. Here’s the kicker: their largest increase was in the Bronx, where there was a 23% increase in registered Republicans. That’s 11,034 new voters for their party in the borough.
In fact, the top five counties where Republican enrollment grew most included Queens (12.91%) and Brooklyn (8.79%) as well, suggesting that the party is hard at work to build power in the five boroughs.
Manhattan was the only borough to report a decline in registered Republicans.
2024 vs. 2025
But the silver lining for Democrats is that Republican enrollment actually declined over the past year. The party lost 39,779 enrollees statewide.
So while they’re still up by quite a bit compared to three years ago, that trend could be changing if they continue to lose enrollment.
Republicans lost enrollees in 42 counties over the past year, including on their New York City stronghold of Staten Island. They also lost voters in Manhattan and Brooklyn, but gained them in Queens and the Bronx, which has the largest percent increase.
Democrats are down but not as much as Republicans are up
We’ll follow the same two comparisons here for Democrats, who don’t have much positive news on the enrollment front.
2022 vs. 2025
Democrats have 79,014 fewer registered voters now than they did in 2022, the new data shows. Their total enrollment is now 6,432,118 — still more than double the number of Republicans, which is 2,993,155.
But they’ve only grown enrollment over the last five years in eight of the state’s counties. Two of them — Manhattan and Brooklyn — are in New York City, but the rest of them were upstate, except they did grow enrollment in Westchester County.
But they’ve also lost quite a few voters in the Bronx — 28,478 of them to be exact. Enrollment for Democrats also dropped on Long Island, which can sometimes predict the political mood statewide.
2024 vs. 2025
While it’s likely good news for Democrats to see Republican enrollment decrease over the past year, I have bad news for them: they lost voters too.
And while they weren’t far from Republicans in terms of the share of voters they lost (somewhere between 1% and 2%) there’s quite a difference in the number of departed Democrats.
Democrats have 108,219 fewer enrollees than they did last November, which means the pace of that loss was actually faster than the decline they’ve seen since 2022.
Their enrollment only increased in five counties, though three of them were Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens.
If Democrats can’t turn that trend around, their best bet is to up their appeal with independent voters.
There are 307,622 more registered voters who declined to be on the roster of either party now than there were in 2022, the new data shows. But that category declined slightly over the past year as well.
