Monday, September 19, 2022

GLENS FALLS, NY–Today, with just 50 days until Election Day, Team Elise released a campaign memo outlining how Congresswoman Stefanik is in the strongest position ever for re-election. Senior Advisor to CongresswomanElise Stefanik Alex DeGrasse stated:

“With only 50 days until CongresswomanEliseStefanik earns another landslide re-election victory, Team Elise continues to earn record support from law enforcement, local elected officials, and families across Upstate New York and the North Country. Meanwhile, Far Left Downstate Democrat from Poughkeepsie Matt Castelli’s campaign is flailing and failing, as his biggest supporter is Kathy Hochul—which Castelli is desperately trying to hide because he knows her endorsement is politically toxic. North Country and Upstate New York voters look forward to defeating this Far Left Downstate Democrat and sending Congresswoman Elise Stefanik back to Congress to continue delivering real results for our farmers, small businesses, veterans, seniors, and families.”

Read the full 50 Day memohereor below.

TO:Interested Parties

FROM:Alex DeGrasse, Senior Advisor to Congresswoman Elise Stefanik

RE:50 Days Until Election Day: State of The Race Memo for NY-21


Team Elise In Strongest Position Ever For Re-Election

With just 50 days until Election Day, Team Elise continues to earn record support from local elected officials, law enforcement, and Upstate New York and North Country families, as Congresswoman Stefanik has never been in a stronger position to earn a historic margin of re-election.

All Congressional race prognosticators and analysts consider NY-21 a “Safe Republican” seat withFiveThirtyEight describing the likelihood of Congresswoman Stefanik’s victory to be over 99%.

Team Elise volunteers and interns will continue to contact tens of thousands of voters each week in the newly redistricted and more conservative 21st Congressional District, which has an even stronger margin for President Trump and Republican candidates.

Meanwhile, the Downstate Democrat from Poughkeepsie is getting absolutely ZERO support from the DCCC. The Far Left Downstate Democrat from Poughkeepsie will continue his flailing and failing campaign. Castelli’s Far Left policies have failed to earn him support in the district, and instead earned him an “F” rating from the NRA – which is grossly out of touch with NY-21’s law abiding gun owners – and an endorsement he tries desperately to hide from, Kathy Hochul, who is politically toxic in Upstate New York and the North Country.

With powerful grassroots momentum, record fundraising and positive name ID from a strong track record of results, Congresswoman Stefanik is headed for another historic, landslide victory on November 8th.

NY-21 is a Safe Republican Seat, Trump Country, and Elise Country:

Cook Political Report: ‘Solid Republican”

FiveThirtyEight: Stefanik is “Very Likely” to win “>99 in 100”

Inside Elections: “Solid Republican”

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Safe Republican”

●Far Left Downstate Democrat Matt Castelli admitted he’s getting “not much” support from the Democratic Campaign Congressional Committee (DCCC). The reality is he is getting NONE.

●President Trump won the newly drawn New York 21st Congressional District by a 12.5% margin in 2020 — a 2% increase from the district under the current lines.

●All three counties drawn fully into NY-21 were won by President Trump: Herkimer by 26%, Schoharie by 30%, and Montgomery by 23.4%. Within the towns of NY-21’s new partial counties, Trump won Otsego by 16%, and Rensselaer by 3%.

●In the 2020 election, NY-21 was an R+4 on the Cook PVI, now it is an R+9 and a “Safe Republican” seat. The Republican gubernatorial candidate won NY-21 in 2018 by 27%.

Record Grassroots Momentum:

●Congresswoman Stefanik has participated in nearly 2,000 constituent district events since taking office.

●With the help of over 250 active volunteers and interns, Team Elise has already made over 500,000 voter contact calls across the new district.

●Team Elise has also already knocked on more than 50,000 doors and is planning to knock on tens of thousands more before Election Day to introduce the Congresswoman to new voters and share her record of results with all of NY-21.

●Team Elise has already announced record support from local elected officials, including 400 elected leaders in Clinton, Essex, Jefferson, Lewis, Warren, and Washington Counties. This includes endorsements from Republicans, Conservatives, Independents, and Democrats and means that Congresswoman Stefanik is on pace to earn the highest number of local elected endorsements ever in Team Elise history.

●Elise has earned strong support from law enforcement, including endorsements from:

-The Police Benevolent Association of the New York State Troopers

-The New York State Police Investigators Association, Local 4, International Union of Police Associations, AFL-CIO

-The National Border Patrol Council

-The New York State Law Enforcement Officers Union, Council 82

-The Detectives’ Endowment Association

Record Fundraising and Largest Fundraising Advantage Ever:

●Congresswoman Stefanik continues to shatter fundraising records as the strongest GOP fundraiser not only in the North Country but in New York State history.

●Rep. Stefanik announced that Team Elise has raised over $15 million cycle-to-date through Elise for Congress, E-PAC, Elise Victory Fund, and via WinRed for Republican candidates and committees. This includes a record of small dollar donors from the district.

●As of the latest FEC reporting, Elise for Congress has more than six-times the cash-on-hand as Far Left Downstate Democrat Matt Castelli. This is the largest fundraising advantage over NY-21 Democrat opponents ever.

Flailing and Failing Campaign of a Far Left Down State Democrat from Poughkeepsie:

●Far Left Downstate Democrat From Poughkeepsie Matt Castelli put “party before country” with wild and raunchy workplace behavior at the National Safety Council, where he would allegedly drink alcohol on the clock and slept with colleagues in the prayer room.

●Far Left Downstate Democrat From Poughkeepsie Matt Castelli was reportedly “pressured” to leave the NSC early because of his “job performance.”

●Far Left Downstate Democrat From Poughkeepsie Matt Castelli fully supportedraising taxes on middle-class Americans in the middle of a recession.

●Far Left Downstate Democrat From Poughkeepsie Matt Castelli received an F rating from the NRA, the lowest rating in the North Country’s history.

●Far Left Downstate Democrat From Poughkeepsie Matt Castelli supported Kathy Hochul’s unconstitutional counsel carry law that classified historical reenactors and law-abiding citizens of Upstate New York and the North Country as felons.

●Far Left Downstate Democrat From Poughkeepsie Matt Castelli has been endorsed by corrupt gun-grabbing Kathy Hochul, which he his hiding and left off his website as he knows Hochul’s endorsement is politically toxic in the North Country and Upstate New York.

●Far Left Downstate Democrat From Poughkeepsie Matt Castellifully supports repealing the Hyde Amendment, which for over 50 years had received bipartisan support to prevent taxpayer dollars from being used to fund abortions.


In every election cycle since Congresswoman Stefanik flipped NY-21 from blue to red in 2014, she has won overwhelmingly by double digits, often earning the largest margin of victory for any Congressional Republican in the entire northeast. In 2020, despite facing an onslaught of millions of dollars of negative ads, Congresswoman Stefanik earned the most votes ever for any Congressional candidate in North Country history.

Now, with just 50 days to go, Team Elise continues to have the strongest record, message, resources, and support to build on previous cycles of historic success and achieve another landslide victory in November. And sorry to disappoint the local media and editorial pages – everyone knows it.